Prigozhin to leave Russia under deal brokered by Belarus after Wagner rebellion – Russia-Ukraine war

Prigozhin to leave Russia under deal brokered by Belarus after Wagner rebellion – Russia-Ukraine war

Wagner chief Prigozhin will move to Belarus under deal

The Wagner group chief, Yevgeny Prigozhin, will move to Belarus under a deal to end the armed mutiny he led against Russia’s military leadership, the Kremlin said on Saturday night.

The deal was brokered by the Belarusian president, Alexander Lukashenko.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Lukashenko had offered to mediate, with Vladimir Putin’s agreement, because he had known Prigozhin personally for about 20 years.

Peskov said the criminal case that had been opened against Prigozhin for armed mutiny would be dropped, and that the Wagner fighters who had taken part in his “march for justice” would not face any action, in recognition of their previous service to Russia.

Although Putin had earlier vowed to punish those who participated in the mutiny, Peskov said the agreement had had the “higher goal” of avoiding confrontation and bloodshed.

Prigozhin and all of his fighters vacated the military headquarters in the southern city of Rostov-on-Don that they had previously taken over, the RIA news agency reported.

The Wagner group chief, Yevgeny Prigozhin, will move to Belarus under a deal to end the armed mutiny he led against Russia’s military leadership, the Kremlin said on Saturday night.

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The deal was brokered by the Belarusian president, Alexander Lukashenko.

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Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Lukashenko had offered to mediate, with Vladimir Putin’s agreement, because he had known Prigozhin personally for about 20 years.

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Peskov said the criminal case that had been opened against Prigozhin for armed mutiny would be dropped, and that the Wagner fighters who had taken part in his “march for justice” would not face any action, in recognition of their previous service to Russia.

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Although Putin had earlier vowed to punish those who participated in the mutiny, Peskov said the agreement had had the “higher goal” of avoiding confrontation and bloodshed.

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Prigozhin and all of his fighters vacated the military headquarters in the southern city of Rostov-on-Don that they had previously taken over, the RIA news agency reported.

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It’s about 11pm in Moscow. Here’s a quick overview of everything that’s happened so far today:

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  • In an abrupt about-face, Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin halted his mercenary troops and ordered them to move out of Rostov. In a statement, Prigozhin said that he wanted to avoid the spilling of “Russian blood”.

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  • Belarus president Alexander Lukashenko’s press office was the first to announce that Prigozhin would be backing down, saying that Lukashenko had negotiated a de-escalation with the Wagner head after talking to Vladimir Putin. Lukashenko said that Putin has since thanked him for his negotiation efforts.

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  • Putin has not publicly commented on Lukashenko’s deal with Prigozhin.

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  • Before Prigozhin called back his troops, Wagner had entered the Lipetsk region, about 360km (225 miles) south of Moscow, overnight. Putin had reportedly taken a plane out of Moscow heading north-west in the afternoon, though it is unclear where he went or his current whereabouts.

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I’m handing the blog over to my colleague, Hayden Vernon. We’ll continue to follow the situation in Russia, so stay tuned.

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The office of the Belarus president, Alexander Lukashenko, just announced that Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin has accepted a proposal to “stop the movement of armed persons of the Wagner company on the territory of Russia and take further steps to de-escalate tensions”, the president’s office said, with similar reporting in Russian news outlets.

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The statement said that Vladimir Putin briefed Lukashenko in the morning and, with his approval, Lukashenko held negotiating talks with Prigozhin.

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“Negotiations continued throughout the day. As a result, they came to agreements on the inadmissibility of unleashing a bloody massacre on the territory of Russia,” the statement read.

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Wagner and Prigozhin have not commented on the negotiations.

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The mayor of Moscow, Sergei Sobyanin, has said in a statement that Moscow residents should refrain from trips around the city as far as possible given a counter-terrorism operation has been declared and said the situation was “difficult”, Reuters reports.

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Sobyanin also said in the statement, released on Telegram, that Monday would be a “non-working day” in order “to minimise risks”.

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  • According to Ukrainian news agencies, Kyiv has liberated territories near the city of Krasnohorivka in Donetsk region, which have been occupied by pro-Russia separatists since 2014, during the Wagner mutiny in Russia.

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  • The governor of Russia’s Lipetsk province says the Wagner mercenary group has entered the region, AP reports. The Lipetsk region is about 360km (225 miles) south of Moscow and much closer to the capital than Rostov-on-Don, where Wagner forces appeared during the night.

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  • There have been numerous reports that Vladimir Putin’s presidential plane took off from Moscow’s Vnukovo airport at 2.16pm local time (1216 BST) and then headed north-west. It has not been possible to confirm whether Putin was on the plane and his spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, has told the Tass news agency the president is “working in the Kremlin”.

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  • Large amounts of cash were found during a raid on Prigozhin’s office, he has reportedly confirmed. Russian media had reported that money was found at the St Petersburg address, something Prigozhin has now confirmed, according to Reuters.

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  • The UK government will hold an emergency Cobra meeting to discuss the situation in Russia, Reuters reports.

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According to Ukrainian news agencies, Kyiv has liberated territories near the city of Krasnohorivka in Donetsk region, which have been occupied by pro-Russia separatists since 2014.

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Oleksandr Tarnavsky, commander of the Tavria operational strategic grouping, spoke to the national news agency of Ukraine, Ukrinform.

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“The movement of our forces continues,” Tarnavsky wrote on Telegram on Saturday. “There are tangible successes and progress.”

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The Guardian cannot independently verify the claims.

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The governor of Russia’s Lipetsk province says the Wagner mercenary group has entered the region, AP reports.

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The Lipetsk region is about 360km (225 miles) south of Moscow and much closer to the capital than Rostov-on-Don, where Wagner forces appeared during the night.

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Authorities “are taking all necessary measures to ensure the safety of the population. The situation is under control,” the governor, Igor Artamonov, said on Telegram. He did not give details about the Wagner presence.

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Authorities in the area, which is in Russia’s south-west, earlier urged residents to stay at home on Saturday after the Wagner group vowed to take up arms to topple the country’s military leadership.

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Wagner forces are already in control of Rostov after an overnight rebellion. It appears they have now travelled about 500 miles north as they barrel towards Moscow.

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Reuters journalists earlier saw troop carriers and a flatbed truck carrying a tank careening past the city of Voronezh more than halfway to Moscow, where a helicopter fired on them. But there were no reports of the rebels meeting any substantial resistance on the highway.

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There have been numerous reports that Vladimir Putin’s presidential plane took off from Moscow’s Vnukovo airport at 2.16pm local time (1216 BST) and then headed north-west.

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According to data from the FlightRadar tracking website, the plane reached the Tver area – about 110 miles from Moscow and where Putin has a residence – before disappearing from the system.

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It has not been possible to confirm whether Putin was on the plane and his spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, has told the Tass news agency the president is “working in the Kremlin”.

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Meanwhile, Iranian state media quoted the foreign ministry spokesperson Nasser Kanaani on Saturday as saying Iran supports the rule of law in the Russian Federation and considers the latest developments there an internal Russian matter.

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Large amounts of cash were found during a raid on Prigozhin’s office, he has reportedly confirmed.

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Russian media had reported that money was found at the St Petersburg address, something Prigozhin has now confirmed, according to Reuters.

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He has said the money was for Wagner expenses, it reports.

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Russian state media has also reported that Vladimir Putin has held a call with Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who expressed support for the current Russian leadership, they claim.

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A security council statement from Belarus has also said that country remains an ally of Russia and that internal disputes are a “gift to the collective west”.

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The UK government will hold an emergency Cobra meeting to discuss the situation in Russia, Reuters reports.

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The emergency meeting comes as Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said No 10 was keeping a close eye on the situation evolving on the ground and had plans to speak with international allies later today.

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Earlier today, Sunak told the BBC: “But the most important thing I’d say is for all parties to be responsible and to protect civilians, and that’s about as much as I can say at this moment.”

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Russian army helicopters have opened fire on a Wagner military convoy on the M4 highway outside the southern city of Voronezh, Reuters reports, citing a witness.

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The Guardian has not independently verified this claim.

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Ukraine’s foreign minister has called on the international community to “abandon false neutrality” and give his country the weapons it needs to “put an end to the evil” of Putin’s regime.

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Dmytro Kuleba tweeted: “Those who said Russia was too strong to lose: look now.

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“Time to abandon false neutrality and fear of escalation; give Ukraine all the needed weapons; forget about friendship or business with Russia. Time to put an end to the evil everyone despised but was too afraid to tear down.”

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Those who said Russia was too strong to lose: look now. Time to abandon false neutrality and fear of escalation; give Ukraine all the needed weapons; forget about friendship or business with Russia. Time to put an end to the evil everyone despised but was too afraid to tear down.

— Dmytro Kuleba (@DmytroKuleba) June 24, 2023

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Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy has said “no lie can hide” Russia’s chaos and said the armed mutiny showed “full-scale weakness” in the country.

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Posting on Twitter, Zelenskiy said: “Everyone who chooses the path of evil destroys himself. Who sends columns of troops to destroy the lives of another country and cannot stop them from fleeing and betraying when life resists.

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“Who terrorizes with missiles, and when they are shot down, humiliates himself to receive Shahed drones. Who despises people and throws hundreds of thousands into the war, in order to eventually barricade himself in the Moscow region from those whom he himself armed.

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“For a long time, Russia used propaganda to mask its weakness and the stupidity of its government. And now there is so much chaos that no lie can hide it. And all this is one person, who again and again scares by the year 1917, although he is able to result in nothing else but this.

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“Russia’s weakness is obvious. Full-scale weakness. And the longer Russia keeps its troops and mercenaries on our land, the more chaos, pain, and problems it will have for itself later. It is also obvious. Ukraine is able to protect Europe from the spread of Russian evil and chaos. We keep our resilience, unity and strength.

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“All our commanders, all our soldiers know what to do. Glory to Ukraine!”

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Everyone who chooses the path of evil destroys himself. Who sends columns of troops to destroy the lives of another country and cannot stop them from fleeing and betraying when life resists. Who terrorizes with missiles, and when they are shot down, humiliates himself to receive…

— Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) June 24, 2023

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Commenting on Putin’s televised address, Yevgeny Prigozhin in an audio note said the president “was deeply mistaken” in calling him a traitor.

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“No one is going to turn themselves in at the request of the president … We don’t want the country to continue to live in corruption and lies,” he added.

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“We are patriots, and those who are against us are the ones who gathered around the bastards,” Prigozhin said.

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The audio message marks the first time that Prigozhin has directly spoken out against the Russian president.

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The former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev on Saturday called on Russians to rally around Putin.

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Yevgeny Prigozhin said the members of his Wagner group, who have launched an armed rebellion, were “ready to die”, in a message posted to Telegram on Saturday morning.

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In a string of audio messages, the leader of the mercenary fighters vowed to topple Russia’s military leadership.

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“All of us are ready to die. All 25,000, and then another 25,000,” he said. “We are dying for the Russian people.”

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He added: “We are saving Russia.”

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The Russian-installed heads of Ukrainian regions occupied by Moscow on Saturday expressed support for President Vladimir Putin as Russia faced the extraordinary mutiny.

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“The Kherson region and the people of Kherson completely support our president!”, the Russian-installed head of Ukraine’s southern Kherson region said on Telegram. The Kremlin-appointed head of the part of the Zaporizhzhia region controlled by Moscow, Yevgeny Balitsky, said the territory was “with the president”.

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The UK’s Ministry of Defence has provided an update on the situation in Russia.

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The MoD said: “In the early hours of June 24 2023, the feud between Yevgeny Prigozhin’s Wagner group and the Russian MoD escalated into outright military confrontation.

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“In an operation characterised by Prigozhin as a ‘march for freedom’, Wagner group forces crossed from occupied Ukraine into Russia in at least two locations.

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“In Rostov-on-Don, Wagner has almost certainly occupied key security sites, including the HQ which runs Russia’s military operations in Ukraine.

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“Further Wagner units are moving north through Vorenezh oblast, almost certainly aiming to get to Moscow. With very limited evidence of fighting between Wagner and Russian security forces, some have likely remained passive, acquiescing to Wagner.

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“Over the coming hours, the loyalty of Russia’s security forces, and especially the Russian National Guard, will be key to how the crisis plays out. This represents the most significant challenge to the Russian state in recent times.”

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Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 24 June 2023.

Find out more about Defence Intelligence’s use of language: https://t.co/K6An5jd2B8

🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/M3E5L0EHLB

— Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) June 24, 2023

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Putin gave an emergency televised address on Saturday as the Wagner mercenary chief leads an armed rebellion:

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  • Putin said Russia was fighting “the toughest battle for its future”.

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  • He said the Wagner “armed mutiny” was a “stab in the back” to Russia. He called the rebellion treason and said anyone who had taken up arms against the Russian military would be punished.

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  • He said he would do everything to protect Russia, that the Russian armed forces “have been given the necessary orders” and that “decisive action” would be taken to stabilise the situation.

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  • Putin said: “I will do everything possible to defend my country … And those who have organised an armed rebellion will be held accountable. Those who have been drawn into this, I call on you to stop your criminal actions.”

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  • He also told viewers: “Personal interests have led to the betrayal of our country and the cause that our armed forces are fighting.”

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Vladimir Putin has begun a televised address to the Russian nation, saying he is fighting for the life and security of his people and the country needs unity of all its forces.

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If you’re just joining us, here’s a roundup of the latest major developments as Russian authorities accuse mercenary force leader Yevgeny Prigozhin of trying to start a “civil conflict”.

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    n

  • The head of the Wagner mercenary group claims to have seized control of all military sites in the city of Rostov-on-Don and demanded that Russia’s military leadership come to him after accusing them of killing his forces. In videos posted on social media early on Saturday, Yevgeny Prigozhin claimed he was at the headquarters of the southern military district in Rostov and demanded that defence minister Sergei Shoigu and Russia’s top general Valery Gerasimov come to the city, 1,000km south of Moscow. The videos could not be verified.

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  • Russian president Vladimir Putin will give a televised address soon, the Tass news agency cited the Kremlin as saying. Earlier, a spokesperson for the Kremlin, Dmitry Peskov, had said only that the president was receiving round-the-clock updates and that “all necessary measures are being taken”.

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  • Russia’s defence ministry said in a statement addressed to Wagner fighters that they had been “deceived and dragged into a criminal adventure” by Prigozhin. In a statement posted on Telegram, the ministry urged them to contact its representatives and those of law enforcement services, and promised to guarantee their security.

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    n

  • Moscow mayor Sergei Sobyanin said anti-terrorist measures were being taken in the Russian capital, including additional checks on roads, to reinforce security. Authorities also said the M4 motorway, connecting Moscow with the south, was closed to traffic at the border with the Voronezh region due to the movement of a military convoy.

  • n

  • Russia’s FSB security service has opened a criminal case for armed mutiny against Prigozhin after the mercenary chief accused the Russian military of targeting his forces and vowed to “destroy” his rivals. In an extraordinary series of audio clips released late on Friday, Prigozhin claimed that a rocket attack in the Russian region of Rostov had killed scores of his fighters, vowing to take “revenge” and “stop the evil brought by the military leadership of the country”.

  • n

  • The FSB said Prigozhin’s statements and actions were “in fact a call to start an armed civil conflict on the territory of the Russian Federation and a stab in the back to Russian servicemen fighting pro-fascist Ukrainian forces”. It urged Wagner fighters “not to make irreparable mistakes, to stop any forceful actions against the Russian people, not to carry out the criminal and treacherous orders of Prigozhin, and to take measures to detain him”.

  • n

  • Early on Saturday, Prigozhin released another voice message in which he claimed, without offering evidence, that his forces had left Ukraine and were entering the southern Russian city of Rostov. “Right now we have crossed all the border points … The border guards greeted us and hugged our fighters. Now we are entering Rostov,” he said. “If anyone gets in our way, we will destroy everything … We extend our hand to everyone. We move forward, we are going all the way!”

  • n

  • Gen Sergei Surovikin, the deputy commander of Russia’s Ukraine campaign, released a video address ordering the mercenaries to remain loyal to Putin. “I urge you to stop,” said Surovikin, who was previously understood to be close to Prigozhin. “The enemy is just waiting for the internal political situation to worsen in our country.”

  • n

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    n

  • Earlier on Friday, Prigozhin had accused Moscow’s leadership of lying to the public about the justifications for invading Ukraine. He dismissed Moscow’s claims that Kyiv was planning to launch an offensive on the Russian-controlled territories in eastern Ukraine in February 2022. Prigozhin said: “The ministry of defence is trying to deceive the public and the president and spin the story that there was insane levels of aggression from the Ukrainian side and that they were going to attack us together with the whole Nato block.”

  • n

  • A senior aide to Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy described Prigozhin’s actions as a “counter-terrorist operation” and said that “everything is just beginning in Russia”. “The split between the elites is too obvious. Agreeing and pretending that everything is settled won’t work,” Mykhailo Podolyak tweeted. “Someone must definitely lose: either Prigozhin … or the collective ‘anti-Prygozhin’,”

  • n

  • The commander of Ukraine’s ground forces has confirmed for the first time that the main force of his offensive reserve is yet to be committed into battle with Russia, saying: “Everything is still ahead.” In an exclusive interview with the Guardian from a military base in east Ukraine, Col Gen Oleksandr Syrskyi said the Russian general staff had anticipated where Ukraine’s forces were at their most dangerous but issued a warning to the Kremlin that he was hunting down the lethal weakness in their lines.

  • n

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The Russian ministry of defence is telling Wagner fighters they were “deceived and dragged into a criminal adventure”, the state news agency RIA has reported, according to Reuters.

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The ministry called on the Wagner mercenaries to contact its representatives and those of law enforcement services, the Tass news agency reported.

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The ministry said it would guarantee their security.

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Russia’s president Vladimir Putin will give a televised address soon, the Tass news agency has cited the Kremlin as saying.

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Yevgeny Prigozhin says in a new video message that all military sites in the Russian city of Rostov-on-Don are under the Wagner mercenary group’s control, Reuters is reporting.

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The Wagner chief also says in the video, which was posted to Telegram, that he and his men are in the southern district military headquarters in Rostov-on-Don.

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Prigozhin says that does not impede Russia’s conduct of what it calls a “special military operation” in Ukraine.

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The Guardian has not been able to verify his claims.

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The Rostov region’s governor has urged residents not to travel into Rostov-on-Don’s city centre and to avoid leaving their homes if possible.

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Vasily Golubev posted on Telegram that law enforcement agencies were doing “everything necessary to ensure the safety of residents in the area”.

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He said he had given “the necessary instructions to the Rostov city administration and the life support services of Rostov to take the necessary measures to preserve the normal functioning of all city systems”.

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n

I keep the issue under control, regularly listening to reports.

n

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Videos posted on local Rostov-on-Don Telegram channels early on Saturday showed armed men in uniform skirting the city’s regional police headquarters, belonging to the interior ministry. Reuters reported it was not immediately clear who the armed men were.

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Moscow’s mayor says anti-terrorist measures are being taken to reinforce security in the Russian capital.

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Sergei Sobyanin said the city was also introducing additional checks on roads, Reuters reports.

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Videos posted on Russian local Rostov-on-Don Telegram channels early on Saturday showed armed men in uniform skirting the city’s regional police headquarters, belonging to the interior ministry.

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Reuters reports it was not immediately clear who the armed men were. The news agency was able to verify the location as the police headquarters building, but not to determine when the video was shot.

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Authorities in southern Russian regions had said measures were being taken to ensure public safety after Yevgeny Prigozhin indicated he planned to despatch men to Moscow to oust the military leadership.

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Yevgeny Prigozhin’s apparent armed rebellion against the leadership of the Russian ministry of defence is “unlikely to succeed” and he may have “wildly miscalculated”, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has said in its latest analysis of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

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The Wagner leader may have thought he would have the backing of Russian president Vladimir Putin, the US thinktank wrote, but that was “extraordinarily unlikely” considering Putin had recently aligned himself more firmly with the Russian defence ministry.

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Another possibility was that Prizgozhin’s actions and statements were “a rhetorical overreach in his ongoing dispute with the MoD and his campaign to retain his wavering influence within the Russian information space following the culmination of Wagner’s Bakhmut effort”, it said.

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n

However, this contingency is also highly unlikely, as initial indicators of actual Wagner movements are observable and the Kremlin is not responding to Prigozhin’s statements as only rhetoric.

n

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NEW: #Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin appears to have launched an armed rebellion on June 23 to force a leadership change within the #Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) which is unlikely to succeed.🧵 (1/13)https://t.co/qllyOvtpBR pic.twitter.com/XXCaTeTCD5

— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) June 24, 2023

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Ukrainian authorities reported explosions in the capital, Kyiv, and the eastern city of Kharkiv early on Saturday, with the country going on high alert in the face of new Russian missile strikes.

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“Explosions are heard in Kharkiv,” mayor Igor Terekhov wrote on social media, while authorities in Kyiv said air defence systems were operating.

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Agence France-Presse also reports that Kyiv’s mayor, Vitali Klitschko, said there were explosions in the city’s western Solomiansky district.

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“Fragments of a rocket hit a parking lot,” he wrote on social media, adding that emergency services were on the scene.

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Separately, the Ukrainian air force reported missiles heading in the direction of the northern regions of Sumy and Poltava and the central city of Dnipro.

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Here’s an overview of all the latest major developments:

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    n

  • Russia’s FSB security service has opened a criminal case for armed mutiny against Yevgeny Prigozhin after the head of the Wagner mercenary group accused the Russian military of targeting his forces and vowed to “destroy” his rivals. In an extraordinary series of audio clips released late on Friday, Prigozhin claimed that a rocket attack in the Russian region of Rostov had killed scores of his fighters, vowing to take “revenge” and “stop the evil brought by the military leadership of the country”.

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    n

  • The FSB said Prigozhin’s statements and actions were “in fact a call to start an armed civil conflict on the territory of the Russian Federation and a stab in the back to Russian servicemen fighting pro-fascist Ukrainian forces”. It urged Wagner fighters “not to make irreparable mistakes, to stop any forceful actions against the Russian people, not to carry out the criminal and treacherous orders of Prigozhin, and to take measures to detain him”.

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  • Early on Saturday, Prigozhin released another voice message in which he claimed, without offering any evidence, that his forces had left Ukraine and were entering the southern Russian city of Rostov. “Right now we have crossed all the border points … The border guards greeted us and hugged our fighters. Now we are entering Rostov,” he said. “If anyone gets in our way, we will destroy everything … We extend our hand to everyone. We move forward, we are going all the way!”

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  • Prigozhin claimed in an audio message that Wagner shot down a Russian helicopter that opened fire on the convoy near Rostov. He did not provide evidence.

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  • Security measures have been strengthened in Moscow, with critical facilities taken under increased protection, Russian state news agency Tass reported, citing law enforcement agencies. Unconfirmed footage also appeared to show military vehicles on the streets of the Russian capital.

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    n

  • Emergency protocols were also implemented in the city of Rostov, involving the full mobilisation of the local security services, according to several Telegram channels linked to security service. Pictures published by local media showed armour vehicles appearing on the streets. Baza, a Telegram channel linked to Russian security services, reported that helicopters were seen flying over Rostov.

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  • Gen Sergei Surovikin, the deputy commander of Russia’s Ukraine campaign, released a video address ordering the mercenaries to remain loyal to Putin. “I urge you to stop,” said Surovikin, who was previously understood to be close to Prigozhin. “The enemy is just waiting for the internal political situation to worsen in our country.”

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  • Russian president Vladimir Putin was getting round-the-clock updates from all relevant state security agencies on the measures being taken to thwart an attempted armed mutiny, Tass reported. “All necessary measures are being taken,” Russian state media quoted Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov as saying.

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  • Earlier on Friday, Prigozhin had accused Moscow’s leadership of lying to the public about the justifications for invading Ukraine. He dismissed Moscow’s claims that Kyiv was planning to launch an offensive on the Russian-controlled territories in eastern Ukraine in February 2022, saying: “The ministry of defence is trying to deceive the public and the president and spin the story that there was insane levels of aggression from the Ukrainian side and that they were going to attack us together with the whole Nato block.”

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  • The commander of Ukraine’s ground forces has confirmed for the first time that the main force of his offensive reserve is yet to be committed into battle with Russia, saying: “Everything is still ahead.” In an exclusive interview with the Guardian from a military base in east Ukraine, Col Gen Oleksandr Syrskyi said the Russian general staff had anticipated where Ukraine’s forces were at their most dangerous but issued a warning to the Kremlin that he was hunting down the lethal weakness in their lines.

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“,”elementId”:”5bc1d45d-6844-4021-bf74-ac7809ee81b6″}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1687567804000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”20.50 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1687571512000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”21.51 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1687570912000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”21.41 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”21.41″,”title”:”Summary”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 24 Jun 2023 18.03 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 23 Jun 2023 18.12 EDT”},{“id”:”649642148f08657ec7321f2e”,”elements”:[{[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Prigozhin claimed in an audio message that Wagner shot down a Russian helicopter that opened fire on the convoy near the southern city of Rostov.

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He did not provide evidence to support the claim.

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Earlier, locals in Rostov reported that military helicopters were flying over the city.

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claims his forces have downed Russian helicopter”,”contributors”:[{[{“name”:”Pjotr Sauer”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2022/02/19/Pjotr-Sauer.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=5e94605ee9e725016f80edcf3bdf7ca8″}],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 24 Jun 2023 18.03 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 23 Jun 2023 18.12 EDT”},{“id”:”64963f118f08657ec7321f15″,”elements”:[{[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

The governor of Russia’s southern Rostov region, Vasily Golubev, has told its citizens to remain calm and stay indoors, Reuters reports.

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Russian authorities have accused Yevgeny Prigozhin of trying to start a “civil conflict” and called for his detention.

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Agence France-Presse reports that the FSB security service’s probe into calls to stage an “armed mutiny” came after the head of the Wagner mercenary group accused Moscow of targeting his forces with deadly missile strikes and vowed to retaliate.

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Prigozhin urged Russians to join his forces and punish Moscow’s military leadership in the most audacious challenge to President Vladimir Putin since the start of the offensive in Ukraine last year.

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In a statement, the FSB said:

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n

Prigozhin’s statements and actions are in fact a call to start an armed civil conflict on the territory of the Russian Federation and a stab in the back to Russian servicemen fighting pro-fascist Ukrainian forces.

n

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The FSB urged Wagner fighters to “take measures to detain him”.

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The Kremlin said Putin had been informed of Prigozhin’s claims and “necessary measures are being taken”.

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This is Adam Fulton taking over the blog from Abené Clayton.

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Prigozhin released another voice message in which he claimed his forces were entering the southern Russian city of Rostov.

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He said:

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n

Right now we have crossed all the border points … The border guards greeted us and hugged our fighters. Now we are entering Rostov.

n

If anyone gets in our way, we will destroy everything … We extend our hand to everyone, but don’t spit in it. We move forward, we are going to the end!

n

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Prigozhin said that those who opened a criminal case against him had “no feeling” and understood nothing but “treachery”.

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There has been no video footage that would confirm Wagner’s alleged movements.

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claims forces are entering Rostov”,”contributors”:[{[{“name”:”Pjotr Sauer”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2022/02/19/Pjotr-Sauer.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=5e94605ee9e725016f80edcf3bdf7ca8″}],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 24 Jun 2023 18.03 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 23 Jun 2023 18.12 EDT”},{“id”:”64962b4d8f08657ec7321eb4″,”elements”:[{[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Following accusations of an armed mutiny in Russia, the White House national security council say they are monitoring the situation, and will be consulting with allies and partners on developments, Reuters reports.

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This is Abené Clayton, contributing to the live blog from Los Angeles.

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Vladimir Putin has yet to make a public statement about the situation with Prigozhin but has “has been informed about all events,” an anchor for State-run Channel 1 said at the end of a news bulletin.

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Michael McFaul, a former ambassador to Russia described Putin’s absence as “striking,” in a tweet.

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The absence of Putin so far in this crisis is striking. Imagine military vehicles cruising around in downtown DC and Biden saying nothing.

— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) June 23, 2023

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Russian security services have moved swiftly against the Wagner boss,
denouncing Prigozhin for “treachery” and ordering the mercenary
group’s fighters to detain their commander.

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The defence ministry also published videos with several senior
military generals who urged Prigozhin to stop what one commander
described as a “coup.”

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“This is a stab in the back of the country and the president,” general
Vladimir Alekseyev, the deputy head of Russia’s military intelligence
agency, said in a video appeal to Wagner fighters “This is a coup,”
Alekseyev added.

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It was not immediately clear if Prigozhin was acting alone. In one
audio message, the warlord claimed to have the support of “the
majority of the army” as well as 25,000 Wagner fighters.

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But Prigozhin for now appears isolated, with several former allies
denouncing his rebellion. General Sergei Surovikin, the deputy
commander of Russia’s Ukraine campaign, who is believed to be close to
Prigozhin, released a video address ordering the mercenaries to remain
loyal to Putin.

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“The termination of Prigozhin and Wagner is imminent. The only
possibility now is absolute obliteration, with the degree of
resistance from the Wagner group being the only variable,” wrote
Tatyana Stanovaya, the founder of the political analysis firm R
Politik

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“Surovikin was dispatched to convince them to surrender. Confrontation
seems totally futile,” she added.

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While there was no immediate sign that Vladimir Putin’s hold on power
appeared threatened, Stanovaya argued that the dramatic episode will
likely damage his standing.

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“Many within the elite will now personally fault Putin for letting the
situation escalate to such extremes and for his lack of a timely
adequate response.”

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The deputy commander of Russia’s Ukraine campaign, general Sergei Surovikin, told Wagner fighters to obey president Vladimir Putin, accept Moscow’s commanders and return to their bases.

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He said political deterioration would play into the hands of Russia’s enemies.

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“I urge you to stop,” Surovikin said in a video posted on Telegram, his right hand resting on a rifle.

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Here is a profile from January of Yevgeny Prigozhin, a former hotdog seller who founded the Wagner group.

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n

Now, Prigozhin’s increasingly brazen criticism has led some to wonder where the ceiling of his ambitions might be.

n

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“People from the FSB are furious about him and see him as a threat to the constitutional order,” said a source in the Russian political elite. “He has this big military group not controlled by the state, and after the war they will want their rewards, including political rewards.”

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Others wonder if Prigozhin may have gone too far. His repeated raging at the defence ministry for trying to “steal” his victory in Soledar has at times sounded more like weakness than strength. After all, insiders say Wagner relies on logistics and intelligence support from the ministry of defence to continue its fighting, and Prigozhin relies on Putin’s continued favour to operate at all.

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The businessman who knew Prigozhin back in the 1990s, looking at his old associate today, was certain of one thing: Prigozhin does not have an off switch.

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“He understands that many hate him in the system … so he knows that if he stops, it could be the end for him. He has no choice. He cannot reverse.”

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Russia said it would prosecute mercenary boss Yevgeny Prigozhin for alleged armed mutiny.

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Russia’s FSB security service has urged Wagner Group fighters not to carry out criminal and traitorous orders at Prigozhin’s request and to take steps to apprehend him.

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Local agencies carried a statement where the security service said the mercenary chief’s remarks amount to a call to start armed civil conflict in Russia, Sky News reported.

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FSB calls on Wagner to ignore Prigozhin’s criminal orders and to assist in his apprehension. Multiple generals making videos calling on them to do the same

Armored vehicles are observed on the streets of Moscow pic.twitter.com/DB7yfcVzy2

— Dmitri Alperovitch (@DAlperovitch) June 23, 2023

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Security was stepped up on Friday night at government buildings, transport facilities and other key locations in Moscow, the state news agency TASS reported, citing a source at a security service.

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Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner mercenary group, has accused Russian military leaders of targeting his troops.

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He said the attack happened after he criticised the country’s top brass on the Telegram messaging app.

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In a video, he had said the Kremlin’s rationale for invading Ukraine was based on lies and the “evil” of Russia’s military leadership must be stopped.

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Prigozhin has since claimed the country’s defence ministry ordered a rocket strike on Wagner’s field camps in Ukraine which has killed scores of his fighters.

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He warned his troops will move to punish defence minister Sergei Shoigu and urged the army not to offer resistance.

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Prigozhin said: “This is not an armed rebellion, but a march of justice.”

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The Russian defence ministry has described the allegations made by Prigozhin as “untrue and an informational provocation”.

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According to the TASS news agency, president Vladimir Putin has been made aware of the latest developments, and “necessary measures are being taken”.

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Key events

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UK fighter jets have been scrambled to respond to Russian aircraft 21 times in the last three weeks under NATO’s air policing operations in the Baltic region, AFP reports.

The RAF Typhoons, currently operating out of Estonia, are part of so-called “quick reaction alert” aircraft used by the Western alliance to secure its eastern European flank.

UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace said the intercepts were “a stark reminder of the value of collective defence and deterrence provided by NATO”.

The fighters, which have been operating out of an Estonian air base since March, were launched to monitor the Russian aircraft when they failed to respond to air traffic agencies, Britain’s Ministry of Defence said in a statement.

Footage on social media claims to show Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin leaving the military headquarters in the city of Rostov-on-Don that his troops had previously captured. A group of onlookers applauded and approached the car to shake hands with the mercenary chief.

Rostov-on-Don is an important tactical location for Russia’s war effort in Ukraine. It is the largest city in southern Russia and the capital of the Rostov region that adjoins parts of eastern Ukraine where the war is raging. The city is just 60 miles (100km) from the border and is home to the Russian southern military district command – the headquarters Wagner took over – whose 58th Combined Arms Army is fighting against Kyiv’s counteroffensive.

Prigozhin driving away from his coup in an SUV, chased by a smattering of adoring fans, like he just won the NBA Eastern Conference finals or something pic.twitter.com/brW2y5J0bL

— max seddon (@maxseddon) June 24, 2023″,”url”:”https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1672703994710441984?s=20″,”id”:”1672703994710441984″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”85f40867-bfca-4f87-9de2-b810dc4f0a8d”}}”>

Prigozhin driving away from his coup in an SUV, chased by a smattering of adoring fans, like he just won the NBA Eastern Conference finals or something pic.twitter.com/brW2y5J0bL

— max seddon (@maxseddon) June 24, 2023

Shortly before the announcement of Wagner’s retreat, Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, delivered his daily video address. He said Saturday’s events had showed “that the bosses of Russia do not control anything”. The Kremlin, he said, “showed all Russian bandits, mercenaries, oligarchs” that it is easy to “capture Russian cities and, probably, arsenals with weapons”.

Switching into Russian during the address, Zelenskiy claimed that “the man from the Kremlin” was “very afraid”. Zelenskiy used the backdrop of the situation in Russia to urge allies to give Ukraine F-16 fighter aircraft and ATACMS tactical ballistic missiles, as well as underlined the importance of Ukraine joining NATO.

We all remember how the head of Russia threatened the world in 2021. He had some ultimatums, he was trying to show a kind of strength…

The year 2022 showed that he confused – confused his illusions and the lies he was fed with strength. They in the Kremlin are capable of… pic.twitter.com/rwOhLvQJAF

— Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) June 24, 2023″,”url”:”https://twitter.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/1672658185641926660?s=20″,”id”:”1672658185641926660″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”3c84b370-d2d6-4d3d-b815-298ec7289096″}}”>

We all remember how the head of Russia threatened the world in 2021. He had some ultimatums, he was trying to show a kind of strength…

The year 2022 showed that he confused – confused his illusions and the lies he was fed with strength. They in the Kremlin are capable of… pic.twitter.com/rwOhLvQJAF

— Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) June 24, 2023

Wagner chief Prigozhin will move to Belarus under deal

The Wagner group chief, Yevgeny Prigozhin, will move to Belarus under a deal to end the armed mutiny he led against Russia’s military leadership, the Kremlin said on Saturday night.

The deal was brokered by the Belarusian president, Alexander Lukashenko.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Lukashenko had offered to mediate, with Vladimir Putin’s agreement, because he had known Prigozhin personally for about 20 years.

Peskov said the criminal case that had been opened against Prigozhin for armed mutiny would be dropped, and that the Wagner fighters who had taken part in his “march for justice” would not face any action, in recognition of their previous service to Russia.

Although Putin had earlier vowed to punish those who participated in the mutiny, Peskov said the agreement had had the “higher goal” of avoiding confrontation and bloodshed.

Prigozhin and all of his fighters vacated the military headquarters in the southern city of Rostov-on-Don that they had previously taken over, the RIA news agency reported.

Summary

It’s about 11pm in Moscow. Here’s a quick overview of everything that’s happened so far today:

  • In an abrupt about-face, Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin halted his mercenary troops and ordered them to move out of Rostov. In a statement, Prigozhin said that he wanted to avoid the spilling of “Russian blood”.

  • Belarus president Alexander Lukashenko’s press office was the first to announce that Prigozhin would be backing down, saying that Lukashenko had negotiated a de-escalation with the Wagner head after talking to Vladimir Putin. Lukashenko said that Putin has since thanked him for his negotiation efforts.

  • Putin has not publicly commented on Lukashenko’s deal with Prigozhin.

  • Before Prigozhin called back his troops, Wagner had entered the Lipetsk region, about 360km (225 miles) south of Moscow, overnight. Putin had reportedly taken a plane out of Moscow heading north-west in the afternoon, though it is unclear where he went or his current whereabouts.

I’m handing the blog over to my colleague, Hayden Vernon. We’ll continue to follow the situation in Russia, so stay tuned.

Clips are spreading on social media of crowds in Rostov cheering Wagner soldiers as they leave the city.

#Wagner’s soldiers still seem to be popular in #Rostov tonight. A fair crowd serenading thm at the regional military HQ.#RussiaCivilWar pic.twitter.com/eZ1wWI43au

— Tim White (@TWMCLtd) June 24, 2023n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/TWMCLtd/status/1672683826189926401″,”id”:”1672683826189926401″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”68619e94-1674-41dd-a154-4e49ac7d58e8″}}”>

Жители Ростова провожают вагнеровцев так, «как будто бы только что посетили крутой рок-концерт», передает RostovGazeta pic.twitter.com/MsWowcsx2U

— Тайга (@tayganews) June 24, 2023n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/tayganews/status/1672683334969729026?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1672683334969729026%7Ctwgr%5E79061edb3a11fa0459c2517361f7ef366352ae08%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.themoscowtimes.com%2F2023%2F06%2F24%2Flive-wagner-chief-rebels-against-military-leadership-a81618″,”id”:”1672683334969729026″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”a9ee95ae-7c3c-491b-b77f-1f410cc65891″}}”>

Experts are still scratching their heads about exactly what happened, but the main consensus is that Wagner’s “march for justice”, even if brief, will have an impact on Vladimir Putin’s hold over Russia moving forward.

My main thought, as Prigozhin sends his men back to base, is that this isn’t over yet.

I’m not suggesting that Prigozhin will try again. But my strong sense is that Putin’s challenges are only beginning.

/1

— Sam Greene (@samagreene) June 24, 2023n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/samagreene/status/1672679006838181890?s=20″,”id”:”1672679006838181890″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”c857dd3a-48c3-4eac-bfcf-8b278b58598c”}}”>

My main thought, as Prigozhin sends his men back to base, is that this isn’t over yet.

I’m not suggesting that Prigozhin will try again. But my strong sense is that Putin’s challenges are only beginning.

/1

— Sam Greene (@samagreene) June 24, 2023

Whatever the deal is that Putin and Prigozhin have struck: it’s clear now that the repercussions of an unsuccessful war are destabilizing Russia and threatening Putin’s rule — and that everybody could see that.

— Ulrich Speck (@ulrichspeck) June 24, 2023n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/ulrichspeck/status/1672666616872484864″,”id”:”1672666616872484864″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”0309c65f-f8c0-4ca7-94e4-052aeb91e9a4″}}”>

Whatever the deal is that Putin and Prigozhin have struck: it’s clear now that the repercussions of an unsuccessful war are destabilizing Russia and threatening Putin’s rule — and that everybody could see that.

— Ulrich Speck (@ulrichspeck) June 24, 2023

We’ve entered the inevitable phase of the Russia-Ukraine war, where Russia is losing and major instability ensues. This phase was/is absolutely foreseeable.

— Alexander S. Vindman ❎ (@AVindman) June 24, 2023n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/AVindman/status/1672671053284511744?s=20″,”id”:”1672671053284511744″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”6cccf644-95cd-4ce5-8ea6-77fc4619ece8″}}”>

We’ve entered the inevitable phase of the Russia-Ukraine war, where Russia is losing and major instability ensues. This phase was/is absolutely foreseeable.

— Alexander S. Vindman ❎ (@AVindman) June 24, 2023

Belarus president Alexander Lukashenko’s press office said that Vladimir Putin has thanked him for negotiating with Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, who agreed to pull back his mercenaries after talking with Lukashenko.

“Today at 9 pm, the presidents spoke on the phone again. Belarus president has informed the Russia president in great detail about the results of his negotiations with authorities of Wagner PMC,” the statement reads. “President of Russia supported and thanked his Belarus colleague for the work he did.”

The Kremlin has yet to make any public statements about the negotiations.

Russian state-controlled TV station RT is reporting that Wagner troops are packing up in Rostov, with video footage of Wagner soldiers appearing to prepare to leave.

RT’s correspondent on the ground in Rostov-on-Don says the Wagnerites are already packing up and preparing to leave the city. https://t.co/A3R8ukIgEo pic.twitter.com/BPbYyoJliR

— Kevin Rothrock (@KevinRothrock) June 24, 2023n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1672666713727418378?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1672666713727418378%7Ctwgr%5E14f383670ec9f6cf18b4440400ea05af98af8fb6%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.themoscowtimes.com%2F2023%2F06%2F24%2Flive-wagner-chief-rebels-against-military-leadership-a81618″,”id”:”1672666713727418378″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”bc4ed522-ee87-4c87-bcff-e9355752c018″}}”>

Here’s a look at Yevgeny Prigozhin’s full statement on pulling back his mercenaries, made via audio message:

Prigozhin just now: “They wanted to disband Wagner. We set out on June 23 for the “March of Justice”. In a day we marched just short of 200 km from Moscow. During this time, we have not shed a single drop of the blood of our fighters. Now is the moment when blood can be shed.…

— Mary Ilyushina (@maryilyushina) June 24, 2023n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/maryilyushina/status/1672660607211016192?s=20″,”id”:”1672660607211016192″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”2cfacd89-150f-481d-9e11-f91ea5cd9376″}}”>

Prigozhin just now: “They wanted to disband Wagner. We set out on June 23 for the “March of Justice”. In a day we marched just short of 200 km from Moscow. During this time, we have not shed a single drop of the blood of our fighters. Now is the moment when blood can be shed.…

— Mary Ilyushina (@maryilyushina) June 24, 2023

AP confirms Wagner head Yevgeny Prigozhin is halting his mercenaries moments after Belarus president Alexander Lukashenko said he brokered a de-escalation deal. In an audio message, Prigozhin said that he is stopping his troops to avoid “Russian bloodshed”.

Belarus president says Prigozhin accepted de-escalation proposal

The office of the Belarus president, Alexander Lukashenko, just announced that Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin has accepted a proposal to “stop the movement of armed persons of the Wagner company on the territory of Russia and take further steps to de-escalate tensions”, the president’s office said, with similar reporting in Russian news outlets.

The statement said that Vladimir Putin briefed Lukashenko in the morning and, with his approval, Lukashenko held negotiating talks with Prigozhin.

“Negotiations continued throughout the day. As a result, they came to agreements on the inadmissibility of unleashing a bloody massacre on the territory of Russia,” the statement read.

Wagner and Prigozhin have not commented on the negotiations.

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